The Dynamics of Tropical Cyclogenesis and Intensification
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Speaker(s): Michael T. Montgomery
To forecast tropical cyclones, or to determine possible changes in their climatology as a result of global warming, we need a conceptual model of how tropical cyclones work.
- How do tropical cyclones form, intensity, and decay?
- Why do these storms sometimes intensify rapidly, surprising tropical forecasters in charge of protecting life and property for communities affected by these life-threatening storms?
- What conceptual models are available to address the questions?
In this talk I will briefly review tropical cyclone structure and present new developments on the fluid dynamics of these storms that help answer these questions.